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id: 77149
date: 9/5/2006 11:02
refid: 06DUSHANBE1650
origin: Embassy Dushanbe
classification: CONFIDENTIAL
destination: 06DUSHANBE1641|06DUSHANBE309|06DUSHANBE419
header:
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—————— header ends —————-
C O N F I D E N T I A L SECTION 01 OF 03 DUSHANBE 001650
SIPDIS
SIPDIS
SCA FOR DEUTSCH; NSC FOR MERKEL; E FOR HENGEL AND DUNCAN; EMBASSY MANILA
PLEASE PASS TO ADB AMBASSADOR SPELTZ
E.O. 12958: DECL: 9/5/2016
TAGS: PREL, PGOV, ECON, EAID, EFIN, ENRG, TI, CH
SUBJECT: CHINESE MAKING BIG FOOTPRINT ON TAJIKISTAN’S INFRASTRUCTURE
REF: A) DUSHANBE 0419 B) DUSHANBE 0309 C) DUSHANBE 1641
CLASSIFIED BY: Tracey Jacobson, Ambassador, U.S. Embassy,
Dushanbe, State.
REASON: 1.4 (b), (d)
1. (C) SUMMARY: With $637 million in low-interest credits for
roads, a tunnel and high voltage transmission lines, China has
positioned itself as Tajikistan’s biggest and fastest-moving
foreign investor. By funding key
infrastructure projects, China
seeks to strengthen its ties with Tajikistan and help its
impoverished neighbor, as a safeguard for China’s own border.
China’s loan package falls within the framework of the
multilateral Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO), but with
bilateral cooperation increasing, the Chinese are conscious of
how Russia may perceive their actions.
The United States cannot
compete with the scale of Chinese financing, but thus far
China’s projects complement our own regional integration
strategy by developing key transportation and energy corridors.
We must ensure that despite the rhetoric of other SCO members
and observers such as Iran, China considers us an ally, not a
threat, in the region, with the same goal of stabilizing and
developing Tajikistan’s economy.
END SUMMARY.
ROADS AND POWER LINES
2. (SBU) In a two-hour lunch with PolOff August 31,
Chinese
Embassy Second Secretary Zheng Wei elaborated on the busy and
fruitful summer for Chinese-Tajik bilateral relations, starting
with the SCO meeting in June, and culminating in the first state
visit of a Chinese Premier September 11-14. According to
contacts in the Energy and Transport ministries, China will
provide credits at two percent interest for three key projects:
—The Dushanbe-Khujand-Chanak road and Shahristan tunnel:
Combined with the Iranian-financed Anzob tunnel, slated to open
November 2006, refurbishment of this road to the northern Uzbek
border could cut travel time between Dushanbe and Tajikistan’s
northern commercial capital Khujand by six hours. The $296
million Chinese project will take two years to complete. After
the agreement was inked on June 15, Chinese diggers and
bulldozers from the company China Road were already widening the
sections closest to Dushanbe July 9.
— South-North high-voltage transmission line: The three-year
$281 million project will link Tajikistan’s southern and
northern electricity grids, and establish a high-voltage
corridor to Kyrgyzstan that bypasses Uzbekistan. Construction
will begin in September.
— Lolazor-Khatlon 220 kV line.
The 90-km line will cost $60
million. The Chinese company China Theban Electric Apparatus
Stock Company Ltd. (CTEAS) will be the general contractor on the
Lolazor and South-North lines.
Zheng noted that Tajikistan took advantage of China’s «very
special offer» of up to $900 million in low-interest loans to
SCO countries, where Kyrgyzstan made only modest requests, and
Kazakhstan, Russia and Uzbekistan «didn’t need the help.»
3. (C) She dismissed press
reports that China would finance a
DUSHANBE 00001650 002 OF 003
railroad project from China, through Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan and
Afghanistan to a port in Iran. «The railroad is the Tajiks’
dream,» she said. «They’ve proposed it, but we need to start
with the three projects on the table and then see about further
cooperation.» Zheng said the
Chinese Premier’s September 11-14
visit would piggyback on a SCO meeting in Dushanbe, but may also
lead to increased trade and cooperation agreements.
CAN’T BUY ME LOVE?
4. (C) Zheng asked PolOff if she had seen a recent
article in
the Tajik press, naming Russia as Tajikistan’s number one
investment partner. Zheng wryly
observed that half the article
praised Russian investment in Sangtuda-I and Rogun hydropower
stations, and called Russia Tajikistan’s most reliable ally.
The second half of the article lumped together China, the United
States, Europe and other investors.
«An interesting point of
view,» she smiled, noting China’s loans eclipse all other
foreign aid. (NOTE: Embassy staff
have been unable to locate
the original article, although given the Russian-dominated media
in Tajikistan, such a pro-Moscow position would not be
surprising. END NOTE.)
5. (C) She wondered out loud whether Russia felt
threatened,
but remarked the Chinese loans represented a new strategy of
increased bilateral engagement and an effort to ensure regional
stability with border countries. «China and Tajikistan are
neighbors, but this is the first official state visit from China
in Tajikistan’s 15 year history.
We are paying more attention
now,» she offered.
COMMENT:
6. (C) The Chinese presence in
Tajikistan is growing. In
addition to the road and power lines, the Chinese have made big
investments in telecommunications, and have increased exports of
consumer goods to Tajikistan.
Exchanges in multiple
sectors-defense, sports, education, political parties-suggest
Beijing is putting money behind its intentions to pay closer
attention to Tajikistan.
7. (C) Despite some raised eyebrows over the amount
and terms
of the Chinese loans, most international donors in Dushanbe
agree the credits finance critical infrastructure projects that
would take years to get built through other programs. The
International Monetary Fund (IMF) has some concerns Tajikistan
may start a cycle of debt taking (Reftel C). Without
«meddlesome» safeguards and transparent tender practices, the
Chinese can start much faster than other donors, which teaches
the Tajiks the wrong lesson about attracting foreign investment
and economic assistance — that it can come fast and cheap
without economic structural reforms.
China’s credits have
raised Tajik expectations when dealing with the United States
and other international institutions and could cause Tajikistan
to look more and more to Beijing for assistance and investment.
DUSHANBE 00001650 003 OF 003
8. (C) The United States cannot compete with China
in terms of
lending or investment. Even
forgiving the $17 million in debt
(a repeated Tajik request to the United States) would pale in
comparison. However, it is a good
sign that Tajikistan can find
substantial assistance from countries other than Russia. If the
Chinese projects continue on schedule-and if Russia and Iran
continue to drag their heels on Rogun and Sangtuda-II hydropower
stations-China may become an influential counterforce. We will
want to ensure that China understands that U.S. interest in the
region supports, not rivals, its own.
END COMMENT.
JACOBSON
=======================CABLE ENDS============================
id: 77257
date: 9/6/2006 8:16
refid: 06DUSHANBE1654
origin: Embassy Dushanbe
classification: UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY
destination:
header:
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RUEHWR/AMEMBASSY WARSAW 0011
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—————— header ends —————-
UNCLAS SECTION 01 OF 02 DUSHANBE 001654
SIPDIS
SENSITIVE
SIPDIS
STATE FOR SCA/CEN, DRL
E.O. 12958: N/A
TAGS: PGOV, PREL, KDEM, TI
SUBJECT: NINE WEEKS OUT: OSCE UNDECIDED ON ELECTION OBSERVERS IN
TAJIKISTAN
DUSHANBE 00001654 001.2 OF 002
1. (U) After a weeklong visit, the OSCE/ODIHR Needs
Assessment
Mission (NAM) remains undecided on whether or not it will send a
full-scale observation mission for the November 6 presidential
election. The NAM, comprised of
three OSCE/ODIHR officials,
debriefed international missions August 31 on its findings which
will be formally published mid-September. During its visit to
Tajikistan, the NAM met with the Ministry of Foreign Affairs,
parliament, local government administrations in Qurgon-Teppa and
Kulob, and political party leaders.
2. (SBU) Government officials assured the NAM that
Tajikistan
will officially invite OSCE observers.
They also told the NAM
that election regulations will ensure equal treatment for all
candidates. The NAM reported it
believes the present
administration has people with knowledge and experience
necessary to conduct a fair election if they actually obey
President Rahmonov’s call for a fair election. (COMMENT: At
this point, many people at the debriefing looked up and
snickered. Although the top of
the administration gives public
lip-service to a free and fair election, the consensus among the
audience was that the administration is not willing to expend
much energy to substantially improve the democratic election
process and curb corrupt election practices, especially at the
local level. END COMMENT)
3. (U) Despite the NAM’s positive meetings with the
government, the mission’s indecision lies in the legislative and
election rules that restrict competition. The OSCE expects to
send observers five weeks before the election, but the scope of
the mission remains unclear, with the following three possible
scenarios:
— An Election Support Team with less than five election experts
could be sent to the local OSCE office to assist with monitoring
and reporting. This is the most
likely scenario if no candidate
emerges to run against Rahmonov or the OSCE deems that the rules
set by the Central Committee on Elections and Referenda do not
permit a level playing field.
— A Limited Election Observation Mission would allow long-term
observers for internal OSCE reporting, but no short-term
observers for election day.
— A Full-Scale Observation Mission would include long-term
observers as well as up to two hundred short-term observers
stationed throughout the country on the actual day of the
election. OSCE/ODHIR would
publish a report on the election as
it did for the 2005 Parliamentary Elections.
4. (U) At any time the OSCE could alter its decision
to adapt
to changing circumstances. For
instance, if OSCE sent a limited
mission but the election suddenly became credibly competitive,
the OSCE would be prepared to train internationals already based
in Tajikistan as short-term observers.
Similarly, if it sent in
a full-scale mission, but the government cracked down on media
freedom or eliminated a candidate, the OSCE could respond
critically by withdrawing its observers.
5. (U) United Nations Tajikistan Office of
Peacebuilding head
Ambassador Sotirov advocated strongly for a full-scale
observation mission with short-term observers. A full mission
would signal to the people of Tajikistan that the international
community still maintains a watchful eye on the future of
democracy in Tajikistan and might encourage them to continue
election reform in the future.
6. (U) Without a full-scale mission including
short-term
DUSHANBE 00001654 002.2 OF 002
observers, the OSCE will not publish its election observation
findings, leaving the field open to other observers, such as
those sent by the CIS, no matter how inaccurate or biased. With
a full-scale mission, the OSCE would provide a legitimate and
thorough analysis to counter those reports. Its constructive
criticism would send a clear message that Tajikistan needs to
strengthen its democratic processes and may help lay the
groundwork for future election reform.
7. (U) During the August 31 briefing the OSCE
declared they
would send a mission, but appeared genuinely uncertain about the
type of mission. Over the next
several days the OSCE will
analyze the CCER decree and wait to see if anyone will run
against Rahmonov. Political
parties will announce potential
candidates fifty days prior to the election.
8. (U) COMMENT:
The Tajiks were clearly not pleased with the
OSCE’s findings after the parliamentary elections in February
2005. If the OSCE refrains from
fielding a mission in order to
send a message that the presidential election is not free or
fair, that message will have little resonance inside Tajikistan.
Tajik media, predominantly
state-run and Russian-biased, would
be critical of the OSCE’s inaction and could look to other CIS
observers more willing to bless a flawed process. A full OSCE
mission will provide the best avenue for critique of
Tajikistan’s unfair election and set the tone for future
elections. END COMMENT.
JACOBSON
=======================CABLE ENDS============================
id: 77317
date: 9/6/2006 13:30
refid: 06DUSHANBE1655
origin: Embassy Dushanbe
classification: CONFIDENTIAL
destination:
header:
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C O N F I D E N T I A L SECTION 01 OF 02 DUSHANBE 001655
SIPDIS
SIPDIS
SCA FOR FEIGENBAUM
E.O. 12958: DECL: 9/6/2016
TAGS: PREL, PGOV, ECON, ENRG, EAID, SNAR, KDEM, PHUM, TI
SUBJECT: TAJIKISTAN: AMBASSADOR PRESENTS CREDENTIALS TO PRESIDENT
RAHMONOV
CLASSIFIED BY: Tracey Jacobson, Ambassador, State, STATE.
REASON: 1.4 (d)
Classified by Ambassador Jacobson.
Reason 1.4(d).
1. (U) SUMMARY.
On September 4, just one business day after
arriving at post, Ambassador Jacobson presented her credentials
to Tajik President Emomoli Rahmonov.
Rahmonov thanked the
United States for its support of counter terrorism and counter
narcotics efforts and said he looked forward to greater
assistance in economic development. He cited the U.S.-funded
bridge at Nizhniy Pyanj as an example of bilateral cooperation
that would benefit the region.
The government was eager to
accept the Ambassador’s credentials so she could participate
officially in the September 9 Independence Day celebration and
the 2700th anniversary of President Rahmonov’s home region,
Kulyab. END SUMMARY.
GREAT TIMING
2. (U) The Ambassador thanked the president for the
opportunity to present her credentials immediately after
arrival. Rahmonov and some of his
senior staff just returned
from meetings in Kazakhstan and were pressed for time, but were
intent to keep the appointment with the Ambassador. While some
ambassadors are made to wait for several months before
presenting their credentials, the president remarked, it was
important that she be «one of the active members» among the
diplomatic corps at the upcoming Independence Day celebrations.
Rahmonov said the celebrations will show off the famous Tajik
hospitality, and good naturedly predicted the Ambassador would
much prefer Tajikistan to her former assignment in Turkmenistan.
Note: For the 15th anniversary of
independence, the government
will invite the diplomatic corps to a military parade, an
evening gala, and a trip to Kulyab on the president’s airplane
to commemorate 2700 years of Tajik-Persian culture.
MEETING WITH THE PRESIDENT
3. (U) After the formal presentation of credentials,
President
Rahmonov opened the conversation with the Ambassador by stating
that for Tajikistan, the relationship with the United States
«has always been and always will be» of paramount importance.
He said Tajikistan would never engage in any anti-Americanism.
The Ambassador said her core mission would be to further
strengthen America’s relationship with the Tajik government and
the Tajik people. She outlined a
full range of common
interests, which she had discussed earlier with the foreign
minister in more detail, including regional integration, border
security, counter-terrorism, counter-narcotics, and economic
opportunities including hydropower.
She noted that a more
transparent economic environment was essential to attracting
investment. Washington is keenly
interested in the November 6
presidential elections, she said — how these elections are
conducted will be important not only for Tajikistan’s image but
also for the development of the bilateral relationship.
4. (C) Rahmonov was most engaging when he broke from
his
prepared text and reflected on the accomplishments of Tajikistan
since the early 1990s. Dushanbe
was dead; bread was rationed;
fathers and sons killed each other; Islamic flags flew over the
current parliament building. He
recounted some of the
atrocities he witnessed first hand as a «simple deputy,»
apologizing to the Ambassador for the indelicate descriptions.
Such memories, he said, ensure the Tajik people understand the
value of peace and stability, and ensure that Tajikistan will be
a staunch partner in counter-terrorism and counter-narcotics.
He recalled the late 1990s and the first anti-terrorism
operations in Afghanistan when the flow of drugs across the
border nearly tripled. At that
time he appealed for
international support citing the impact not only on Central
Asia, but on the wider global community, but his pleas were met
with skepticism and ignored.
Similarly, he lamented that his
offer directly to General Franks immediately after September 11,
2001 to provide a base at Kulyab for the anti-Taliban,
anti-terrorist operations in Afghanistan was rebuffed.
Positively, he recognized that the United States was first among
countries in providing humanitarian assistance to Tajikistan
throughout Tajikistan’s 15 years of independence.
5. (SBU) To illustrate Tajikistan’s role in the
broader
Central Asian area, Rahmonov shared a Tajik proverb: «If your
neighbor is prospering, it will be fortuitous for you too.» He
spoke at length about the challenge of integrating Afghanistan
into the regional economy and referred to the U.S. Army Corps of
Engineer’s bridge project as a major step toward Afghanistan’s
DUSHANBE 00001655 002 OF 002
post-war development and Tajikistan’s integration with the rest
of the world. Noting that it is only 1,600 kilometers to
Karachi, the bridge will help eliminate the long overland routes
to European seaports and transportation hubs. To reach its
goals, he said, Tajikistan must cooperate with all «sincere
friends of Tajikistan» who have a role here, including those in
the Islamic world, India, Pakistan, China, Russia and European
countries. In reference to
Uzbekistan, the President mentioned
the deaths on the border as a result of landmines, but stopped
short of lambasting Karimov, expressing optimism that Tajikistan
and Uzbekistan could resolve their differences amicably.
6. (U) Rahmonov responded to the Ambassador’s desire
to see
the Tajik presidential elections approach international
standards, by noting his «firm position» that the November 6
presidential election should be open and transparent. He
reported that during a recent address to parliament he
instructed all government structures to follow local laws and
international obligations.
7. (U) He noted that former Ambassador Hoagland left
a new
embassy and he hoped that she would leave her own mark on
U.S.-Tajik relations. As evidence
of his sincere desire to work
closely with the United States, Rahmonov referred to his
attendance at the new embassy dedication during Ambassador
Hoagland’s absence due to his Senate confirmation hearing. He
pointed out that «no other Central Asian president would have
attended a dedication ceremony without the host Ambassador.»
MEETING WITH FOREIGN MINISTER NAZAROV
8. (SBU) Prior to the credentials ceremony, the
Ambassador met
with Foreign Minister Nazarov to preview her conversation with
the president, and to initiate a dialogue with the Foreign
Minister on the entire range of bilateral issues. She
highlighted Washington’s appreciation for Tajikistan’s record in
anti-terrorism and anti-narcotics efforts, Secretary Rice’s
strong interest in supporting the integration of Central and
South Asia, and the enormous opportunities for Tajikistan in the
energy sphere. Tajikistan’s
ability to attract private
investors and business partners, she argued, will depend on
transparent practices and enforcement of the sanctity of
contracts. Similarly, transparent
conduct toward NGOs is
critical for continued U.S. assistance and the healthy
development of democracy. The Ambassador
raised the ongoing
case of Gerald Metals and recent government pressure on the
Portland-based NGO Mercy Corps International as issues she would
like to discuss at greater length with the Minister.
9. (SBU) Nazarov spent considerable time detailing the
various
hydropower projects underway in Tajikistan. He said that no
agreements were finalized at the recent Sochi EurAsEC summit and
was clear that Tajikistan would hold out for completing the
giant Rogun hydropower project according to its original
Soviet-era plans. If Russian
aluminum giant RusAl cannot find
financing for the full-scale version of the project, Tajikistan
will look elsewhere for partners. Nazarov remains optimistic
that the situation will be resolved and stated that 95 percent
of Afghanistan’s energy needs could be met by Tajikistan in the
future.
10. (U) The Ambassador characterized the upcoming
presidential
election as an excellent opportunity to signal a commitment to a
transparent democratic process meeting international standards.
A free and fair election, with open access to the media for the
political parties, would contribute to the prestige and
long-term stability of Tajikistan.
He agreed to meet with the
Ambassador soon, and regularly, in order to continue to discuss
these and other important issues.
11. (SBU) COMMENT:
While neither meeting offered anything
new, the Foreign Minister and President had both clearly crafted
their talking points to fit their perception of what we wanted
to hear. The early credentials
meeting was a positive sign, but
we will continue to emphasize that it is concrete action — on
the elections, business and civil society environments, and
security cooperation — that will keep Tajikistan in the
«Corridor of Reform.
JACOBSON
=======================CABLE ENDS============================
id: 77457
date: 9/7/2006 10:18
refid: 06DUSHANBE1661
origin: Embassy Dushanbe
classification: CONFIDENTIAL
destination: 06STATE144180
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—————— header ends —————-
C O N F I D E N T I A L DUSHANBE 001661
SIPDIS
SIPDIS
DEPT FOR ISN/MNSA, SCA/CEN; NSC FOR MERKEL
E.O. 12958: DECL: 9/7/2016
TAGS: PREL, PARM, MARR, KNNP, UN, TI
SUBJECT: TAJIKISTAN CONSIDERS NUCLEAR FREE ZONE TREATY «OPEN AND
FLEXIBLE
REF: STATE 144180
CLASSIFIED BY: Tracey Jacobson, Ambassador, U.S. Embassy,
Dushanbe, State.
REASON: 1.4 (b), (d)
CLASSIFIED BY: Tracey Jacobson, Ambassador, U.S. Embassy,
Dushanbe, State.
REASON: 1.4 (b), (d)
1. (C) Deputy Foreign Minister Yatimov said that
Tajikistan
had not made a final decision about signing the Central Asian
Nuclear Weapons Free Zone (CANWFZ) agreement in Kazakhstan
September 8, and that they regarded the treaty as «open.» In a
90-minute meeting with DCM and PolOff September 6 (septel), he
acknowledged the U.S. position, conveyed by diplomatic note
September 1, but suggested that Tajikistan could sign the treaty
and still remain flexible to future drafts and changes. Top
Tajik officials would meet later that evening to decide, but
Yatimov indicated Tajikistan would likely sign the agreement,
citing Tajikistan’s commitments as a member of the Collective
Security Treaty Organization.
2. (C) Yatimov underscored his position that signing
the
treaty still left the possibility to incorporate the United
States’ proposed changes.
«It will be an open treaty,» he
opined, «This is not the last version.» He noted he had
received demarches from «many others.» Mentioning specifically
Iran, Yatimov noted that the «fragile» situation in the region
meant it was important to sign now and make changes later.
3. (SBU) NOTE:
In coordination with post, the British
Ambassador and French Charge confirmed they sent written
demarches to the Tajik government concerning the CANWFZ
agreement September 4 and 5. The
Russian Embassy political
officer pulled aside DCM at the September 5 Uzbek Independence
day event to ask why Washington was so «hot-headed» about the
treaty. END NOTE:
4. (C) COMMENT: Yatimov chose his words carefully, but seemed
inclined to support the treaty as part of their regional
security commitments. END
COMMENT.
JACOBSON
=======================CABLE ENDS============================
id: 77458
date: 9/7/2006 10:27
refid: 06DUSHANBE1662
origin: Embassy Dushanbe
classification: CONFIDENTIAL
destination: 06DUSHANBE1662
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RUEHIL/AMEMBASSY ISLAMABAD 1805
RUEHBUL/AMEMBASSY KABUL 1766
RUEHLO/AMEMBASSY LONDON 1695
RUEHNE/AMEMBASSY NEW DELHI 1790
RUEHFR/AMEMBASSY PARIS 1511
RUEHKO/AMEMBASSY TOKYO 1529
RUEKJCS/SECDEF WASHINGTON DC
RUEKJCS/JOINT STAFF WASHDC
RHMFISS/HQ USCENTCOM MACDILL AFB FL
RHMFISS/HQ USEUCOM VAIHINGEN GE
RUEHNO/USMISSION USNATO 1724
RUEHVEN/USMISSION USOSCE 1778
RUCNDT/USMISSION USUN NEW YORK 1323
RUEHBS/USEU BRUSSELS 1080
RUEHWR/AMEMBASSY WARSAW 0013
RUEHDBU/AMEMBASSY DUSHANBE 9924
—————— header ends —————-
C O N F I D E N T I A L SECTION 01 OF 03 DUSHANBE 001662
SIPDIS
SIPDIS
STATE FOR SCA/CEN, DRL
E.O. 12958: DECL: 9/7/2016
TAGS: PGOV, PREL, KISL, KDEM, TI
SUBJECT: IRPT CONFIRMS KABIRI AS CHAIRMAN IN EMOTIONAL CONGRESS
CLASSIFIED BY: Tracey Jacobson, Ambassador, U.S. Embassy
Dushanbe, STATE.
REASON: 1.4 (b), (d)
1. (U) SUMMARY:
The Islamic Renaissance Party of Tajikistan
(IRPT) confirmed Muhiddin Kabiri as its chairman during an
emotional political party congress with members still mourning
the loss of former chairman Said Abdullo Nuri. The IRPT
delegates presented a united front and members gave impassioned
speeches, pledging to carry on Nuri’s legacy. After the
congress, Kabiri met with international representatives, where
he appeared visibly strained, which may reflect the pressures on
him from internal political strife and the risks of being a
popular «opposition» politician in Tajikistan. END SUMMARY.
2. (U) The Islamic Renaissance Party unanimously
elected
Acting-Chairman Muhiddin Kabiri to the position of Chairman for
a four-year term during a party congress meeting September 2.
The media, international missions, political scientists, and
other political parties joined the 236 delegates that convened
at IRPT headquarters in Dushanbe to witness this expected, yet
momentous change. In a
three-hour meeting, all congratulated
and praised Kabiri for his strong leadership. Many expressed
confidence he would continue Nuri’s dreams and establish a
greater role for the IRPT in Tajikistan.
The People’s
Democratic Party of Tajikistan made a point of calling Kabiri
its friend and emphasized the two parties’ «friendship» like
«the kind Nuri and Rahmonov had.» (Note: Rahmonov did not show
up at Nuri’s funeral or pay respect to his family. END NOTE.)
3. (U) During Kabiri’s acceptance speech, he
declared he was
not ready to announce his political agenda. He catered to the
party’s love for Nuri and tried to champion Islamic rights, by
promising to continue Nuri’s leadership and said that if people
support Islamic values, they should support the IRPT. He was
humble and thanked the party for its trust in him and called on
party members to criticize him and supply him with advice.
4. (U) In addition to Kabiri’s election, the party
also voted
for a new high presidium and secretariat. In a largely symbolic
move, the party elected Nuri’s son Qori Muhammadjon Nuri to the
high presidium. He is currently
studying in France and did not
attend the congress. At Kabiri’s
initiative, the congress also
unanimously voted for Muhammadsharif Himmatzoda as the IRPT’s
spiritual leader. Kabiri views
Himmatzoda as a mentor and
recognizes the popular leader deserves an official position in
the IRPT. Some in the press had
pegged Himmatzoda to be the
next IRPT chairman, but an illness prohibits him from being
active. IRPT members prayed for
his health.
IRPT UNITED-IN PUBLIC AT LEAST
5. (U) Participants gave speeches congratulating
Kabiri on his
election and praised him for being a fair, modern politician who
can lead the party forward.
Critics within the party have
commented Kabiri is too modern and eschews traditional Islamic
values. In what may have been a
planned campaign, several
conservative members of the party acknowledged rumors of a rift
and potential split in the party, and purposefully praised
Kabiri, admitting that his beardless appearance is of no
importance. One remarked,
«He has no beard, but this is not a
shortcoming. Do not pay attention
to his appearance, pay
attention to his heart.»
6. (U) The party also dispelled rumors of other IRPT
officials
competing for power by having them take the podium and speak in
DUSHANBE 00001662 002 OF 003
support of Kabiri. One such
official, Said Ibrohim Nazar, a
Kulobi who is the IRPT’s Head of the Department of Culture, made
a pointedly short speech commending Kabiri for being a «rare
politician» who will take care of the party and implement Nuri’s
dreams.
7. (C) Embassy sources say Nazar also allegedly
traveled to
the Sughd region which has a strong IRPT support base and asked
delegates to vote for him as party chairman instead of Kabiri.
The Sughd members refused. Prior
to Nazar’s visit, some members
from Sughd did not plan on traveling to Dushanbe for the party
congress because the expense would be too great for them.
Outraged by Nazar’s proposal, they all wanted to show Kabiri
their loyalty and every one of them made the trip to Dushanbe,
despite financial hardship.
Realizing that Kabiri would win,
Nazar, along with IRPT Deputy Chairman Jaloliddin Mansurov, in a
heated discussion among the presidium, tried to convince the
party to elect Kabiri to only a one year term. They reasoned
that Nuri only served three years out of his four year term and
the new chairman should only complete the last year of that
term. They were unsuccessful.
THE CHAIRMAN’S FIRST OFFICIAL DUTY- LUNCH!
8. (SBU) After the formal
congress, attendees divided into
separate rooms for lunch.
Organizers announced that Kabiri
would have his first lunch as chairman with representatives from
international missions. (COMMENT:
This may not have been a
shrewd move on Kabiri’s part, given past criticism from the
government that he is an «agent of the west» and his own party
members’ concerns that he is too modern, too liberal and travels
too much instead of paying attention to internal party issues.
END COMMENT.)
9. (U) Attendees at the traditional Tajik lunch
included
PolOff, Ambassador Sotirov from
the United Nations Tajikistan
Office of Peacebuilding, diplomats from the Iranian, Russian,
and Kazakh embassies and a senior political advisor from the
British Embassy. The lunch was
short, lasting less than twenty
minutes. Kabiri looked visibly
tired and acknowledged that
being IRPT chairman carried a lot of risk and responsibility.
He recognized the work ahead of him as the presidential election
draws closer. Towards the end of
September, the IRPT will
convene another congress and select a candidate to run in the
November 6 presidential election.
No date has been set yet for
the congress and no candidate announced.
10. (C) IRPT members tell Embassy sources that Kabiri
traveled
to Poland one day after the congress on September 3 to
participate in international economic conferences and also to
undergo medical examinations.
Kabiri allegedly suffered from a
minor heart attack recently.
UNITED WE CRY, STILL MOURNING NURI’S DEATH
11. (U) On the heels of Nuri’s death last month, each
speaker
felt obligated to say a few words about Nuri’s leadership and
his critical role in the peace process following the civil war.
At the mere mention of Nuri’s name, several delegates would cry,
particularly if someone broke out in a poetry recital. When
Kabiri stepped up to deliver his acceptance speech, he
symbolically placed flowers in front a gigantic wall sized
picture of Nuri and spoke reverentially about Nuri prompting the
entire room to break down in tears with all delegates loudly
weeping.
12. (U) The deference given to Nuri was
overwhelming. The
congress meeting at times appeared to be a memorial service for
DUSHANBE 00001662 003 OF 003
Nuri rather than a political party meeting electing a new
chairman. Many spoke of IRPT
members as «Nuri’s followers» and
conferred upon him a saint-like status.
A WOMAN’S PLACE IS IN THE BACK OF THE ROOM
13. (U) Of the over 200 delegates at the congress,
about fifty
were women. Women hold positions
in the IRPT as journal editors
and local officials of women’s branches, but the congress did
not elect a single woman to the presidium or secretariat.
During the meeting, all women delegates sat in the back of the
room, silent in their hijabs.
None spoke during the congress,
unless specifically called on by a high official. Occasionally,
a presidium member would call on a representative from the
women’s section to speak on behalf of all the «sisters.»
COMMENT
14. (SBU) Although Kabiri
promises to follow in Nuri’s
footsteps, his modern leanings, savvy knowledge of international
affairs, and amicable personality will take the party to a
different level. He will continue
to preach Nuri’s message of
tolerance and pluralism in the government, but may also be
inclined to reform the IRPT from within, granting more
significant roles for women and strengthening the moderate
branch of the IRPT.
15. (C) In the party’s next congress, it will select
a
candidate to run in the presidential election. In past meetings
with PolOff, Kabiri has said that he does not want to run in the
election, but his party’s desire and the call to duty, may
override his own personal wishes. For example, he had long
proclaimed no desire to become chairman, even when Nuri
personally requested it of him.
16. (C) The party managed to give off a strong united
image
during the congress meeting.
Despite stories of rifts and
potential coups, most members still recognize that in order for
the party to survive, it must remain united at this point, at
least through the presidential election.
Even Nazar will not
want to create waves publicly, because he will likely compete
for the party’s presidential candidate nomination. If he is
unsuccessful in gaining his party’s support once again, the
party may face real internal strife.
END COMMENT.
JACOBSON
=======================CABLE ENDS============================
id: 77609
date: 9/8/2006 10:03
refid: 06DUSHANBE1667
origin: Embassy Dushanbe
classification: UNCLASSIFIED
destination:
header:
VZCZCXRO4822
RR RUEHLN RUEHVK RUEHYG
DE RUEHDBU #1667/01 2511003
ZNR UUUUU ZZH
R 081003Z SEP 06
FM AMEMBASSY DUSHANBE
TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC 8523
INFO RUCNCIS/CIS COLLECTIVE
RUEHNE/AMEMBASSY NEW DELHI 1793
RUEHBUL/AMEMBASSY KABUL 1769
RUEHIL/AMEMBASSY ISLAMABAD 1808
RHEFDIA/DIA WASHINGTON DC
RUEAIIA/CIA WASHDC
RHEHAAA/NATIONAL SECURITY COUNCIL WASHINGTON DC
RUCPDOC/DEPT OF COMMERCE WASHINGTON DC
RUEATRS/DEPT OF TREASURY WASHINGTON DC
RUEHDBU/AMEMBASSY DUSHANBE 9933
—————— header ends —————-
UNCLAS SECTION 01 OF 02 DUSHANBE 001667
SIPDIS
SIPDIS
STATE FOR SCA/CEN
E.O. 12958: N/A
TAGS: ECON, EFIN, EINV, EAID, PGOV, EAGR, EIND, TI
SUBJECT: IT’S ALL RELATIVE: THE TAJIK TEXTILE BIZ
DUSHANBE 00001667 001.2 OF 002
1. (U) SUMMARY: Two major textile manufacturers in Tajikistan
have taken two different roads to success. Tajik Textiles uses
its familial and political networks to succeed, while Giovani
Manufacturing features a glitzy, Western-style approach.
Although President Rahmonov’s development program calls for
domestic processing of all Tajik cotton by 2015, foreign textile
companies operating in Tajikistan face severe challenges.
However, close contacts with local partners allow foreign
investors to navigate local laws and regulations, and more
importantly, provide access to the Tajik familial and political
networks crucial to every aspect of business operations in
Tajikistan. END SUMMARY.
TAJIK TEXTILES-THE CITY IN A CITY
2. (U) The Soviet-built Tajik
Textiles factory rests on 76
hectares in central Dushanbe, processes 6,000 tons of cotton
each year, and employs 3,000 people.
The largest textile
company in Tajikistan, Tajik Textiles produces cloth fabric and
limited finished goods for domestic and export markets.
Finished goods include sheets and bedding, and also local
military uniforms. In grand
Soviet style, the company has its
own water, energy, and sewage resources, allowing the factory to
operate 24/7, every day of the year.
Several in-house
institutes provide specialized training for employees.
3. (SBU) General Director of Tajik Textiles Anvar
Kurbanov
uses his extensive political and family connections to smooth
business operations for the privately-held company. During a
meeting with EmbOffs, Kurbanov elaborated on his family
connections in the government, with cotton ginners, bankers, and
farmers. In addition, during the
civil war, Kurbanov and his
brothers fought actively on the side of pro-government forces.
Kurbanov proudly pointed out that 1,500 members of the People’s
Democratic Party of Tajikistan work for Tajik Textiles.
Kurbanov credits his relatives and government with supplying
Tajik Textiles with «as much cotton as he needs.»
BUILT IN A DAY
4. (U) The Tajik-Polish Joint Venture
«TajPolText» sprang from
the ground in record time thanks to Kurbanov’s extensive
networks. Kurbanov first met with
several Polish businesspeople
in Moscow two years ago at a textile exhibition. At that time,
the Polish Embassy told its citizens «security in Tajikistan is
not so good and food is not so good and water is bad,» causing
the investors to delay their
visit for 18 months. After
Kurbanov traveled to Poland, they agreed that a group from
Poland would come to Tajikistan to negotiate the terms and
conditions for a joint venture.
Kurbanov arranged the group’s
visas in a few hours. Upon
arrival in Dushanbe, they prepared
documents to register the venture at the Ministry of Justice in
one day. In early 2006, the
Polish company started importing
and installing equipment, and began operations in May.
5. (U) In a resourceful example of joint venture
cooperation,
the Tajik and Polish companies each bring their comparative
advantage to the table.
TajPolText operates independently
within the Tajik Textiles factory.
The Polish side imports and
operates the equipment, trains local employees on its use, buys
the cotton, processes and packages the final product for export
to Europe. Tajik Textiles
supplies the factory space, energy
and water inputs, deals with taxes and customs and pesky
government regulators, and provides social benefits to the
employees. Employees at Tajik
Textiles earn on average
$100/month — much higher than the local norm.
ITALIAN STYLE IN TAJIKISTAN
6. (SBU) Kurbanov dished the dirt on the much-heralded
U.S.-Tajik «Giavoni» joint venture in Khujand. According to
Kurbanov, the Italian (now U.S.-owned) company cheated the
government-owned partner when first starting up the joint
venture in the mid-1990’s. The
Italian company inflated the
reported price of their investment, stating that $1.5 million in
equipment was worth $39 million.
The Italian’s «$39 million»
investment bought the Italians’ 50% share in the company.
Giovani asserts the $39 million figure is accurate and notes the
government has not contested it.
(COMMENT: Using the same
trick, Tajik partners have been known to inflate the value of
land and equipment they bring to other joint ventures. END
COMMENT.) The allegedly new
equipment had already been used in
DUSHANBE 00001667 002.2 OF 002
Southeast Asia. Giavoni recently
sold some of its shares to a
third party, and played another shell game. The third party
thought he was buying shares in the entire company, not
realizing he only bought shares in two of the five units of the
company.
7. (U) Employing 1,700 workers in the major northern
industrial center, Khujand-based Giavoni faces «normal»
interference with its business operations. Giavoni produces
Carrera brand jeans for European markets. However, Giavoni
struggles with the VAT on importing and re-exporting zippers and
buttons. The government delays
repayment of the VAT to Giavoni
often for months at a time.
Giavoni has postponed its plans to
open up a new factory until the government resolves this issue.
Meanwhile, $3 million in imported equipment for the new factory
waits in storage.
8. (U) COMMENT:
Kurbanov did not allow EmbOffs to see any of
the 56-acre Tajik Textiles factory.
His dilapidated offices
lack computers, and the company operates purely on personal
relationships. The polished
Giovani representatives enjoy
showing off their Italian-built factory that processes raw
cotton into fancy pants and corduroys for Western markets.
While both companies are succeeding in the Tajik market,
familial ties and personal relationships remain the preferred
and most hassle-free method for foreign companies seeking safe
passage through the Tajik straits.
END COMMENT.
JACOBSON
HOAGLAND
=======================CABLE ENDS============================
id: 78015
date: 9/12/2006 11:31
refid: 06DUSHANBE1700
origin: Embassy Dushanbe
classification: UNCLASSIFIED
destination: 06STATE142147
header:
VZCZCXRO8031
RR RUEHDBU
DE RUEHDBU #1700/01 2551131
ZNR UUUUU ZZH
R 121131Z SEP 06
FM AMEMBASSY DUSHANBE
TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC 8563
INFO RUEHDBU/AMEMBASSY DUSHANBE 9973
—————— header ends —————-
UNCLAS SECTION 01 OF 02 DUSHANBE 001700
SIPDIS
SIPDIS
STATE FOR NICOLAS FETCHKO, EB/CIP/BA
STATE FOR SCA/CEN
E.O. 12958: N/A
TAGS: EAID, EINT
SUBJECT: DUSHANBE RESPONSE TO THE GLOBAL INTERNET FREEDOM TASK FORCE
REQUEST
REF: STATE 142147
1. Embassy Dushanbe provides the
following information in
response to the request by the Secretary’s Global Internet
Freedom Task Force Request (REFTEL).
Internet availability in
Tajikistan remains extremely limited, particularly in remote
areas. Programs that provide
Tajik youth access to the Internet
are particularly valuable as a way to keep youth positively
engaged in society. Through
USAID, Embassy Dushanbe supports
the following 12 existing or planned projects that promote
access to, and use of, the Internet in Tajikistan.
Project Name: Central Asian
Program on AIDS Control in
Vulnerable Populations
Recipient: Republican AIDS Center
and the National Coordinating
Committee
Project Description: To develop
and test approaches and models
for increasing coverage of vulnerable HIV/AIDS populations.
IT Component: Provision of 3
computers for the Republican AIDS
Center and web design for the National Coordinating Committee on
AIDS, TB, and Malaria.
FY 06 Funding: 4,600 USD
Project Name: Zdrav Plus II
Recipient: Six Central Rayon
Hospitals under the Khatlon Health
Department
Project Description: To improve
internal hospital management,
statistic reporting, and implementation of health finance
reforms.
IT Component: Provision of 6
computers and printers as well as
3 trainings on data analysis and computer programming.
FY 05 Funding: 8,000 USD
FY 06 Funding: 1,000 USD
Project Name: Zdrav Plus II
Recipient: Tajik State Medical
University
Project Description: To improve
the quality of medical care by
promoting Evidence Based Medicine amongst medical students and
teachers.
IT Component: Provision of 6
computers, 2 printers, 1 scanner
and internet connectivity.
FY 06 Funding: 7,000 USD
Project Name: Zdrav Plus II
Recipient: PGMI
Project Description: Retraining
family medicine specialists.
IT Component: Provision of 2
computers, 1 copy machine, 1
printer, and 1 LCD projector.
FY 06 Funding: 4,300 USD.
Project Name: Project HOPE
Recipient: National TB Center
Project Description: Project HOPE
provided management to a
Gifts-in-Kind program to increase the capacity of the National
TB Center. Direct funding came
from State, but USAID funding
allowed for project management.
IT Component: Provision of 7
computers as well as computer
training for 14 people.
FY 05 Funding: 3,500 USD
Project Name: Alternatives to
Conflict in Tajikistan
Recipient: Economic Opportunity
Centers (local NGOs)
Project Description: Prevention
of conflict by improving
employment opportunities.
IT Component: Provision of basic
computer training and internet
access and design for unemployed youth.
FY 05 Funding: 550,000 USD
(project total)
FY 06 Funding: 550,000 USD
(project total)
Project Name: Local Governance Initiative — II
Recipient: Regional and district
governments
Project Description: Improving
the professional level and
management capacity of local authorities.
IT Component: Provision of computers,
basic computer training,
accounting and spreadsheet software.
FY 05 Funding: 1,150,000 USD
(project total)
FY 06 Funding: 1,150,000 USD
(project total)
Project Name: Media and
Information Support Initiative
Recipient: Independent TV Stations
Project Description: Support to
independent TV and radio
stations
IT Component: Installation of
internet equipment and access to
online international news and information.
FY 05 Funding: 860,000 (project total)
FY 06 Funding: 648,000 (project total)
Project Name: Participation, Education, and Knowledge
Strengthening Project (PEAKS)
Recipient: Several schools and
learning centers throughout the
country.
DUSHANBE 00001700 002 OF 002
Project Description: Increasing
awareness of teachers and
educators to computers, and ultimately to improve teaching
materials.
IT Component: Provision of
computers.
FY 05 Funding: The project was
fully funded with FY 2002 and
2003 supplemental funding.
FY 06 Funding: The project was
fully funded with FY 2002 and
2003 supplemental funding.
Project Name: Commercial Law Project
Recipient: Supreme Court and High
Economic Court
Project Description: Support and
Development of the Commercial
Legal Environment
IT Component: Purchase and
installation of computer and other
automation equipment, as well as training of all users and
purchase of software.
FY 05 Funding: 220,000 USD
Project Name: Commercial Law Project
Recipient: Ministry of Justice
Project Description: Support and
Development of the Commercial
Legal Environment
IT Component: USAID provided the registry with all necessary
equipment and technical assistance needed in order to establish
the registry office.
FY 06 Funding: 240,000 USD
Project Name: Commercial Law
Project
Recipient: Ministry of Justice
Project Description: Support and
Development of the Commercial
Legal Environment
IT Component: Development and support of a legal database
(Adliya)
FY 00-05 Funding: 45,000 USD
FY 06 Funding: 20,000 USD
JACOBSON
=======================CABLE ENDS============================
id: 78188
date: 9/13/2006 11:30
refid: 06DUSHANBE1705
origin: Embassy Dushanbe
classification: UNCLASSIFIED
destination:
header:
VZCZCXRO1633
RR RUEHLN RUEHVK RUEHYG
DE RUEHDBU #1705/01 2561130
ZNR UUUUU ZZH
R 131130Z SEP 06
FM AMEMBASSY DUSHANBE
TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC 8568
INFO RUCNCIS/CIS COLLECTIVE
RUEAIIA/CIA WASHDC
RHEFDIA/DIA WASHINGTON DC
RHEHAAA/NATIONAL SECURITY COUNCIL WASHINGTON DC
RUEHAK/AMEMBASSY ANKARA 1814
RUEHBJ/AMEMBASSY BEIJING 1815
RUEHRL/AMEMBASSY BERLIN 1759
RUEHIL/AMEMBASSY ISLAMABAD 1811
RUEHBUL/AMEMBASSY KABUL 1772
RUEHLO/AMEMBASSY LONDON 1701
RUEHNE/AMEMBASSY NEW DELHI 1796
RUEHFR/AMEMBASSY PARIS 1515
RUEHKO/AMEMBASSY TOKYO 1533
RUEKJCS/SECDEF WASHDC
RHMFIUU/HQ USCENTCOM MACDILL AFB FL
RHMFISS/HQ USEUCOM VAIHINGEN GE
RUCNDT/USMISSION USUN NEW YORK 1327
RUEHNO/USMISSION USNATO 1728
RUEHVEN/USMISSION USOSCE 1782
RUEHBS/USEU BRUSSELS 1084
RUEHWR/AMEMBASSY WARSAW 0016
RUEHDBU/AMEMBASSY DUSHANBE 9980
—————— header ends —————-
UNCLAS SECTION 01 OF 02 DUSHANBE 001705
SIPDIS
SIPDIS
STATE FOR SCA/CEN, DS/DSS/ITA
E.O. 12958: N/A
TAGS: PGOV, ASEC, KDE
